Social Security

Fix the trust fund

Pick reform options and see how far they go toward keeping Social Security solvent for the next 75 years.

Each option's effect is the estimate of SSA's Office of the Chief Actuary on the 2026 Trustees Report baseline, transcribed, not a model estimate. The calculator only runs the trust fund ledger. Options are added without interactions, as in CRFB's Reformer, so a plan's total is a rough guide, not a formal score.

Options
Cost-of-living adjustment
How the COLA is computed (choose one)
Benefit formula and levels
Initial benefit formula (choose one)
Benefit level (choose one)
Retirement age
Normal retirement age (choose one)
Payroll tax rate
Payroll tax rate increase (choose one)
Taxable maximum
Earnings subject to the payroll tax (choose one)
Broaden the base and other revenue
Income taxation of benefits
Income tax on benefits (choose one)
75-year shortfall closed0%
Trust funds run out2034
Benefit cut when they do17%
75-year balance, % of payroll−4.42

Current law. Pick options on the left to build a plan.

Trust fund ratio

Reserves at the start of each year as a percent of that year's cost

This page models the combined OASDI funds (retirement plus disability), which the Trustees project to run out in 2034 with 83% of scheduled benefits payable. The retirement fund alone (OASI) runs out sooner, in late 2032, with 78% payable: a 22% cut. That is the headline CRFB uses, so the two tools' current-law dates differ by definition, not by disagreement.

How this compares with CRFB

CRFB's Social Security Reformer does not publish its option figures as a table, so the comparison uses the numbers CRFB states in its posts. Gaps are reported, not tuned away. CRFB's figures rest on the 2025 Trustees Report, whose 75-year deficit was smaller, so the same option closes a larger share there.

CRFB itemMeasureCRFBThis pageSource
Current lawDepletion year (OASI)20322032CRFB
Current lawBenefit cut at depletion (OASI)22%22%CRFB
Current lawDepletion year20342034CRFB
Eliminate the taxable maximum (enacted 2026)Share of 75-year shortfall closed65%58%CRFB
Eliminate the taxable maximum (enacted 2026)Depletion year20552058CRFB
Progressive price indexing above the 30th percentile (enacted 2026)Share of 75-year shortfall closed50%38%CRFB
Progressive price indexing above the 30th percentile (enacted 2026)Depletion year20342034CRFB
Eliminate the taxable maximum and progressive price indexingShare of 75-year shortfall closed110%96%CRFB
Eliminate the taxable maximum and progressive price indexingDepletion yearnever2074CRFB
Why the two may differ, row by row
  • Current law, depletion year (oasi): Retirement fund alone. The ledger models combined OASDI, so our side is the Trustees' own OASI figure, transcribed, not computed. (Trustees (OASI), transcribed)
  • Current law, benefit cut at depletion (oasi): Retirement fund alone; our side is 100 minus the Trustees' 78% payable, transcribed. (Trustees (OASI), transcribed)
  • Current law, depletion year: CRFB gives the combined date only approximately; 2026 + 8 = 2034. (Ledger, current law)
  • Eliminate the taxable maximum (enacted 2026), share of 75-year shortfall closed: CRFB does not say whether newly taxed wages earn benefit credit; E2.1 gives none (E2.2, with credit, closes less). CRFB's baseline deficit is an earlier, smaller vintage, so the same dollars close a larger share. (Ledger on OCACT E2.1)
  • Eliminate the taxable maximum (enacted 2026), depletion year: Same mapping as above; E2.2 (with benefit credit) is depleted in 2055 on OCACT's own table. (Ledger on OCACT E2.1)
  • Progressive price indexing above the 30th percentile (enacted 2026), share of 75-year shortfall closed: OCACT's B1.2 starts with those newly eligible in 2033; CRFB's version is enacted in 2026 and its start date is not stated. A later start closes less. (Ledger on OCACT B1.2)
  • Progressive price indexing above the 30th percentile (enacted 2026), depletion year: CRFB says insolvency moves by about one week. (Ledger on OCACT B1.2)
  • Eliminate the taxable maximum and progressive price indexing, share of 75-year shortfall closed: Both reasons above compound; our side adds the two OCACT estimates without interactions. (Ledger on OCACT E2.1, B1.2)
  • Eliminate the taxable maximum and progressive price indexing, depletion year: Both reasons above compound; CRFB's "never" is measured on its own, earlier baseline. (Ledger on OCACT E2.1, B1.2)

How the ledger works